uncertainty

What are the Sources of Uncertainty?


There are several sources of uncertainty in toxicology:
Data Limitations: The quality and quantity of available data can be a major source of uncertainty. Often, toxicologists rely on animal studies or limited human data, which may not always accurately predict human responses.
Inter-species Variability: Differences between species mean that results from animal studies may not be directly applicable to humans. Toxicologists use uncertainty factors to account for these variabilities.
Intra-species Variability: Even within the same species, individuals may respond differently to chemical exposures due to genetic differences, age, gender, and health status.
Exposure Assessment: Estimating the level, frequency, and duration of human exposure to chemicals can be challenging, adding another layer of uncertainty.
Modeling and Extrapolation: Predictive models and extrapolation from high-dose studies to low-dose human exposures can introduce uncertainties.
Mechanistic Understanding: Limited knowledge about the mechanisms of action of certain chemicals can hinder accurate risk predictions.

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